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This Hated Spinoff's Nice Bounce is Poised to Continue by TMFDeeJ aka Jason Knapp
Spinoffs are the bread and butter of special situation investors. I pride myself at having looked at nearly every single spinoff that has or is about to happen U.S. and sometimes abroad. While I don't always invest in them at the time, the knowledge that one gains from researching these special situations often comes in handy down the road.
That's exactly what happened as I was doing my daily scan of the companies with the largest selloffs earlier this month. A company that I was somewhat familiar with, Engility Holdings $EGL, a former defense sector spinoff from L-3 Communications $LLL, popped up on the list, getting hammered on an earnings report that Mr. Market clearly didn't like. Peak to trough, Engility's stock dropped nearly 22% in a little over two weeks.
Even better, not for long-time shareholders of course, but for someone like myself who was considering buying in, $EGL was down over 40% over the past three months. Now that's a stock that's at least due for a nice bounce in a bull market. So I picked up a position in it. How has it done so far? Through yesterday, it has outperformed the S&P 500 +24.03% to +1.72%. Not too shabby for ten days. Annualize that :).
The question is whether I should hold onto the position or not? Is Engility's outperformance poised to continue? I believe that it is. The company has been winning new business:
And it has had a number of insider purchases lately. As the old adage goes, insiders sell for many reasons, but only buy for one [they are bullish on the company's prospects]
Even better, in February Engility purchased another company in what many view to be a transformative transaction.
Transformational Combination Expands Presence into Key Markets, Significantly Increases Cash Flow and Creates a Top-Tier Government Services Company
The TASC purchase diversifies the Engility's business away from the more volatile defense market and into sectors including intelligence analysis, space systems, cybersecurity, surveillance and reconnaissance operations, secure cloud computing and more. Furthermore, Engility believes that the merger will provide it with significant opportunities for cost savings, enhanced cash flow and increased profitability.
I think that the recent 20% gain in the stock is just the tip of the iceberg. I plan on continuing to hold Engility stock both in real life and in my on-line special situations portfolio.